Innovation Futures: How much would you pay for Solexa?

Innovation Futures, a prediction trading venue, has starting betting on Solexa (Nasdaq:SLXA).   Traders are asked to judge the size of Solexa’s market cap as it will be at the end of the trading day on June 6th 2005.  Currently the futures market finds a 39% probability that the market cap will be between $320 and $330 million.

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